Jahanpajooh Strategic Studies Institute



A Peshmerga convoy drives towards a frontline in Khazer, about 30 kilometers (19 miles) east of Mosul, Iraq, Monday, Oct. 17, 2016


The General Command of Peshmerga has announced that the Kurdish Peshmerga forces and the Iraqi army launched an offensive on the northern Iraqi city of Mosul controlled by the Daesh terror group on Monday at about 03:00 GMT.

The command said that up to 4,000 Kurdish fighters were deployed to take part in the operation in accordance with an agreement between Iraqi Kurdistan and the government of Iraq.


Said Mamuzini, a representative of the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), one of the main Kurdish parties in Iraqi Kurdistan, has told Sputnik earlier that a corridor will be left for terrorists to escape to Syria. Those retreating this way will not be captured. Currently, there are some 7,000 Daesh militants.

Similar view is echoed by the news website EurAsia Daily which also says that the US and Saudi Arabia are planning the "transfer" of Daesh militants from Iraq to Syria. Citing military-diplomatic sources in Moscow, the website says that the Iraqi government forces will provide a secure transfer of the jihadists into the Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor.

The key players in the large-scale operation are the US military command in the Middle East and the Saudi General Intelligence Department. The latter plays a special role given a high number of the nationals of the largest Arab monarchy fighting under the black flag of the self-proclaimed Caliphate on the Iraqi frontlines," it says.

The outlet notes that the head of the US Central Command (CENTCOM), General Joseph Votel has already indirectly confirmed the above plans when he said that there is "the need to avoid the rush and to combine military and political plans for the liberation of Mosul."

"It is easy to guess what is meant by this "military-political combination," the website says.

It further explains that the arrival of fresh Daesh forces into Deir ez-Zor will create more problems for the Syrian government, Russia and Iran in this area of the frontline.

It also suggests that in order to avoid the airstrikes of the Russian aviation, the Daesh militants might use their family members as the human shield and will then accuse Russia of "humanitarian barbarism." Under such a scenario, this operation might be even more of a blood bath than the fight for Aleppo.

"In fact, the US started preparing a new breeding ground for the Mosul branch of Daesh in Deir ez-Zor in the middle of September. The US airstrike of the positions of the Syrian army which has been presented as a "mistake" perfectly fits into the "combinatory" logic of Pentagon," the website says.

One of the far-reaching aims of the Mosul operation, it suggests, is to drive the Syrian government forces from the east of Syria and to break into the province of Homs. The terrorists might also attempt to have revenge in Palmyra.

"The "jihadist transfer" from the Iraqi metropolis into Syrian Deir ez-Zor might become a key point of the "reply" to the Russians from the outgoing US administration," the website finally says.




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